#BTC Market Cap Tops Amazon#



Here is the real-time price data for Bitcoin (BTC) for today:

Overview & Analysis Today

1. Quarterly Stability and Support

Bitcoin remains stable around the $118,000 level, which has now become an important support zone.

Support is a key area that needs to be maintained to sustain bullish momentum.

2. US Inflation and Fed Sentiment

Core inflation data for July showed a year-on-year figure of 3.1%, above the Fed's target of 2%. This could potentially delay interest rate cuts, thereby putting pressure on short-term bullish potential.

3. Profit-taking Long-Term Holders (LTH)

According to data from Glassnode, long-term holders have started to realize profits, but not significantly. This could actually indicate that selling pressure is not yet dominant, opening up room for further upside potential.

4. Halving Cycle Model Validation

The halving cycle model predicted by Pantera Capital for August 2025 has proven accurate, as BTC closed above $119,000—affirming the effectiveness of the cyclical approach in long-term analysis.

5. Target Bullish vs. Bearish Risk

Some analysts project a potential breakout to the range of $130K–$131K, driven by the current momentum and technical patterns.

However, another analysis based on the Wyckoff method warns of the risk of further declines, even highlighting the possibility of the $100K support failing.

6. Market Momentum and the Entry of Institutional Investors

The US executive order to include assets like crypto in retirement plans (401k) has triggered an influx of institutional capital—such as a $260 million injection into Bitcoin—sparking market optimism.

7. Potential Push to $137K

Cooling US inflation could increase the chances of interest rate cuts, which could push the bullish market to $137.

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Summary of the "Today" Strategy

Factors Current Conditions

Strong Support ~$118K as an important support area
Macro Sentiment High inflation = risk of Fed cut delay
Realized Profits LTH starts to take profits, but the total is not yet large.
Halving Model Proven valid with a closing above $119K
Target Bullish $130K–$137K if positive momentum continues
Bearish Risk A decline of up to $100K if technical momentum falls

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Suggestions for Traders & Investors

Day Trader / Swing Trader
Watch the support level at $118K. If it holds and there is a breakout above $120K–$122K, the opportunity for take-profit in the range of $130–$131K remains open. However, it is advisable to set a conservative stop loss to avoid being caught by a potential spike to $100K.

Medium-term / Long-term Investor
The long-term trend remains bullish, especially if the halving cycle continues to hold. Gradually investing with the perception that the Pantera cycle model is still relevant could be a wise strategy.

Value Protection (Hedging)
Consider neutral strategies such as put ratio spreads on crypto ETFs like IBIT( if you anticipate a short-term sideways movement or a slight correction. Although the potential risks are high, this method can be profitable in stable or slightly bearish market conditions.

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Conclusion

Today, Bitcoin shows stability in the $118K zone with solid bullish pressure from the halving cycle model and institutional interest. However, high inflation pressure could slow rate cut expectations and shake upward momentum. If support holds and momentum continues to improve, the $130K–$137K target is still very much achievable. Conversely, a drop to $100K remains a backup scenario if technical conditions deteriorate.

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BTC0.53%
SUKU-3.56%
ORDER2.84%
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GENERAL47vip
· 08-13 13:15
let's follow and like each other 🌹🌹
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