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Recently, the future trends of the Crypto Assets market have sparked widespread discussion. Some believe that the traditional four-year bull and bear cycle may have been replaced by a slow rise over a ten-year period, a perspective that deserves our in-depth exploration.
First of all, the behavior of large institutional investors provides important support for the market. It is reported that major holders collectively hold about 1 million bitcoins, and even when the price dropped from $110,000 to over $70,000, they still maintained the vast majority of their positions. This long-term holding strategy not only demonstrates confidence in bitcoin as an anti-inflation tool but also provides a certain level of support for the price.
Secondly, although technical analysis indicators suggest that Bitcoin may experience a significant correction, the reality is that Bitcoin has shown strong resilience against declines. This performance, contrary to the expectations of the technical indicators, may imply that the current bull market cycle has not yet ended.
Another point worth noting is the attitude of institutional investors. The Bitcoin positions of several financial institutions are generally low, averaging less than 1%, but they are gradually increasing their investments. This cautious yet continuous accumulation behavior may indicate that a long-term rise trend is forming.
In addition, the recent rise in Bitcoin prices has been relatively moderate, and the subsequent adjustments have also been relatively gentle. This performance is more akin to the "slow bull" characteristics of traditional financial markets, which may be more in line with the expectations of Wall Street investors.
Based on the current market conditions, some analysts believe that the price of Bitcoin may reach the range of $200,000 to $250,000 in the next one to two years. However, it is worth noting that, unlike previous occasions, the rise in Bitcoin this time is relatively small, which may lead to a corresponding decrease in the funds flowing into other Crypto Assets, explaining why some small market cap coins fell into a downward trend after a brief surge last year.
Looking ahead, if the price of Bitcoin can break through the $150,000 to $200,000 mark, we may see some investors choose to take profits and move their funds into other Crypto Assets, which could trigger a new wave of market activity.
Overall, although there is always uncertainty in market predictions, various current signs seem to suggest that the Crypto Assets market, especially Bitcoin, may be experiencing a long-term rise cycle. Investors should fully consider these factors when making decisions and keep a close eye on changes in market dynamics and the regulatory environment.